What are the odds that Donald Trump will be impeached or won’t complete his first term in office?
According to Paddy Power, they’re pretty high.
The Irish bookmaker is currently taking bets on the president-elect being impeached within six months of his presidency at 4-1 ― and offering odds of 7-4 that he’ll prematurely leave the White House.
It’s taking further wagers on the first thing that Trump will say during his inauguration speech Friday. His catchphrase “Make America Great Again” is odds on at 5-4, the term “job creation” is seen as very probable at 3-1 and “Russia” is likewise at 5-1.
While America may still be recovering from one of the most divisive presidential election campaigns in decades, the company is also already taking bets on who may run in 2020.
Should he not leave office beforehand, Trump is odds-on to run for reelection at 11-10. House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) and Vice President-elect Mike Pence are hotly tipped at 7-1 each, while first lady Michelle Obama is 8-1.
Reality TV star Kim Kardashian is a long shot at 275-1, while her rap star husband Kanye West ― who has said he will run for president in the future ― is at 100-1.
Some of Paddy Power’s odds may seem attractive, but one should remember that the company rashly paid out to people betting on Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton to become president weeks before the 2016 election after erroneously thinking that her victory was a done deal.
In 2012, it also offered odds of 100-1 that Trump would win the race. And we know how that turned out.
BEFORE YOU GO
How to vote
Vote-by-mail ballot request deadline: Varies by state
For the Nov 3 election: States are making it easier for citizens to vote absentee by mail this year due to the coronavirus. Each state has its own rules for mail-in absentee voting. Visit your state election office website to find out if you can vote by mail.Get more information
In-person early voting dates: Varies by state
Sometimes circumstances make it hard or impossible for you to vote on Election Day. But your state may let you vote during a designated early voting period. You don't need an excuse to vote early. Visit your state election office website to find out whether they offer early voting.My Election Office
General Election: Nov 3, 2020
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