Is Venezuela Next?

We documented 56 hyperinflations -- cases in which monthly inflation rates exceeded 50 percent per month. Only seven of those hyperinflations have savaged Latin America. Will Venezuela be the eighth country to join the Latin American Hall of Shame?
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Last year, Nicholas Krus and I published a chapter, "World Hyperinflations", in the Routledge Handbook of Major Events in Economic History. We documented 56 hyperinflations -- cases in which monthly inflation rates exceeded 50 percent per month. Only seven of those hyperinflations have savaged Latin America (see the accompanying table).

At present, the world's highest inflation resides in Latin America, namely in Venezuela. The Johns Hopkins - Cato Institute Troubled Currencies Project, which I direct, estimates that Venezuela's implied annual inflation rate is 302 percent. Will Venezuela be the eighth country to join the Latin American Hall of Shame? Maybe. But, it has a long way to go.

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