Millennials Won't Be In Charge Of Congress Until At Least 2035

A girl uses her mobile phone at the Republican National Convention (RNC) in Tampa, Florida, U.S., on Thursday, Aug. 30, 2012.
A girl uses her mobile phone at the Republican National Convention (RNC) in Tampa, Florida, U.S., on Thursday, Aug. 30, 2012. Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, a wealthy former business executive who served as Massachusetts governor and as a bishop in the Mormon church, is under pressure to show undecided voters more personality and emotion in his convention speech tonight, even as fiscal conservatives in his own party say he must more clearly define his plans for reining in the deficit and improving the economy. Photographer: Daniel Acker/Bloomberg via Getty Images

When the millennial generation assumes power in American politics, they will bring with them a very different set of priorities than the current status quo.

Millennials accept that Global Warming is real, broadly support equality for the LGBT community, have no qualms about interracial marriage and are much more diverse, more civic-minded generation.

With Congress so dysfunctional, we could hope a lot of things will improve once Generation Y takes over. But don't expect them that to happen any time soon.

Millennials will make up the majority of members of the House of Representatives around 2035, "give or take a couple of years," according to research from First Person Politics. Millennials will take over the Senate sometime between 2036 and 2044.

First Person Politics came to this conclusion based on a 30-44-53 rule.

A person is not elected to Congress until the eldest of their age bracket turns 30. Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-Fla.) is the first millennial who was elected to the House. He's in his first term and currently the youngest member of Congress. Currently no millennial serves in the Senate, and the earliest one could be elected is in 2016.

"When the oldest members of a rising generation reach age 44, that’s the year they typically become the second largest generation in the House, or what we call 'the largest minority,'" the group writes on its blog. A generation gets its first majority in the House around the time the eldest turns 53.

To back up their research, they show that the Boomer generation became the "largest minority" in 1987, "exactly as predicted," and reached their "first majority in the House in 1995, the year the oldest Boomers were turning 52 (one year earlier than the expected 53)."

Generation X hasn't even had their first majority in the House yet, but if these projections arrive on time they'll get control in 2014.

So while millennials will become more influential as voters, it'll be a while before they are the ones Americans are casting a ballot for.



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