New Offshore Drilling Analysis Shows What Trump’s Plan Puts At Stake

The proposal threatens more than 2.5 million coastal jobs for roughly two years worth of oil, an ocean conservation nonprofit reports.

WASHINGTON — The Trump administration’s proposal to open up nearly all U.S. waters to oil and gas development threatens more than 2.5 million jobs and roughly $180 billion in gross domestic product in coastal states, according to an economic review by ocean conservation nonprofit Oceana.

The new analysis of fishing, tourism and recreation industry data comes in response to the administration’s sweeping offshore drilling plan aimed at opening huge swaths of the Arctic, Atlantic and Pacific oceans to oil exploration. The proposal, part of an ongoing “energy dominance” agenda, makes available for lease roughly 90 percent of the U.S. Outer Continental Shelf.

Diane Hoskins, a campaign director at Oceana, said the main takeaway from the review is that expanding offshore drilling is not worth the risks this activity would pose to coastal communities that rely on clean, healthy oceans.

“It’s time for [Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke] and Washington to listen to the millions of Americans who already made their voices heard on this issue,” she said. “They’re overwhelmingly saying ‘no’ to drilling off their coasts. And these numbers make it clear just how much is at stake.”

Take, for example, Massachusetts, where commercial fishing, tourism and ocean recreation support 110,000 jobs, according to Oceana. State lawmakers there are among those urging the administration to abandon its offshore plans, noting the state’s marine economy generated more than $17.3 billion in 2015.

“This puts at risk our economy, our vibrant and historic fishing industry, our tourism industry. It, of course, puts at risk our many thousands of miles of coastline in Massachusetts,” state Attorney General Maura Healey told reporters at an event in Washington, D.C., late last month. “We know the devastation, having seen one too many oil spills.”

Massachusetts Attorney General Maura Healey: “We know the devastation, having seen one too many oil spills.”
Massachusetts Attorney General Maura Healey: “We know the devastation, having seen one too many oil spills.”
Brian Snyder / Reuters

Looking at economic data and federal resource assessments, Oceana concluded that the supply of undiscovered and accessible reserves off the Atlantic, Pacific and Florida Gulf coasts would meet America’s oil demands for only two years and natural gas demands for one year.

The offshore announcement in early January drew outrage from Democrats and Republicans who expressed concern about potential economic and environmental damage. Less than a week later, Zinke announced that, at the recommendation of Florida Gov. Rick Scott (R), whom he called a “straightforward leader that can be trusted,” he was removing Florida’s coastal waters from consideration for offshore oil drilling. In a Twitter post that same day, Zinke referred to Scott as he declared that “local voices matter.” Scott continues to deny the science behind climate change and has long supported drilling in and around Florida.

Florida, Zinke added, is “unique and its coasts are heavily reliant on tourism as an economic driver.”

The seemingly arbitrary decision came just two days into a 60-day public comment period. Some wondered if Zinke would give equal weight to voices from blue states; others suggested the move was a political stunt to help get Scott elected to the Senate this year. Democratic governors, lawmakers and other officials demanded that their states also be granted waivers.

The director of the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management has since said that Zinke’s announcement on social media “is not a formal action,” meaning the waters off the coast of Florida are still being considered for oil and gas drilling.

Zinke has met with a number of coastal governors in the weeks since his Florida announcement but has not offered the same assurances he gave Scott.

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