POLITICS

Polls Show Marco Rubio Gaining On Donald Trump In New Hampshire

Will he surprise us again?
Republican presidential candidate Marco Rubio is experiencing a boost in the polls just days before heading into the New Hamp
Republican presidential candidate Marco Rubio is experiencing a boost in the polls just days before heading into the New Hampshire primary on Feb. 9.

After securing a third-place finish in the Iowa caucus on Monday, Republican presidential candidate and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) is enjoying some momentum in New Hampshire primary polls.

A Boston Globe/Suffolk University poll released on Friday finds Rubio trailing current front-runner Donald Trump by 10 percentage points, earning 19 percent of the estimated Republican vote to Trump's 29 percent. 

Yet Rubio's numbers have improved more than any other candidate tested in the poll, with a gain of 9 points since a prior Suffolk poll conducted just over a week ago. Support for all other candidates has remained relatively steady since last week's poll. 

The 44-year old senator has made significant gains among voters over the age of 65 (up 18 points since last week), and women (up 13 points since then.)

Other polls have shown similar gains for Rubio. A CNN/WMUR poll released on Thursday shows him up 7 points in one week; a NBC/WSJ/Marist poll says he's gained 6 points since their last poll, conducted just over a week ago. And a UMass Lowell/7NEWS daily tracking poll shows a 5-point improvement for the senator within a few days. 

According to the HuffPost Pollster average, which aggregates all publicly available polls, Trump still holds a firm lead over everyone else. The remaining candidates are fighting it out for second through fifth place, with Rubio trending up. 

New Hampshire, much like Iowa, tends to be a difficult state to poll accurately, with a potential for surprises -- particularly from undecided or independent voters.

Overall, 33 percent of Republicans in the Boston Globe poll say they might change their minds between now and the New Hampshire primary, which is set to take place on Feb. 9. 

Suffolk University/Boston Globe interviewed 500 likely Republican primary voters on landlines and cell phones on Feb. 3 and 4. The margin of error is 4.4 percent.

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