See How The New Hampshire Polls Got It Wrong

See How The New Hampshire Polls Got It Wrong

Rasmussen New Hampshire Primary (January 5-7 )

Obama 37
Clinton 30
Edwards 19
Richardson 8

McCain 32
Romney 31
Huckabee 10
Giuliani 8
Paul 8

See full results.

Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby New Hampshire Primary (January 5-7)

Obama 42
Clinton 29
Edwards 17
Richardson 5

McCain 36
Romney 27
Huckabee 10
Giuliani 10
Paul 10

See full results here.

American Research Group (January 6-7)

Obama 40
Clinton 31
Edwards 20
Richardson 4

McCain 31
Romney 24
Huckabee 14
Giuliani 13
Paul 9

CNN/University of New Hampshire (January 5-6)

Obama 39
Clinton 30
Edwards 16
Richardson 7

McCain 31
Romney 26
Huckabee 13
Giuliani 10
Paul 10
Thompson 1

***

CBS News Poll (January 5-6)

Obama 35
Clinton 28
Edwards 19

***

Rasmussen (January 5-6)

Obama 38
Clinton 28
Edwards 18
Richardson 8

McCain 32
Romney 31
Huckabee 11
Giuliani 10
Paul 8
Thompson 3

***

Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 4-6)

Obama 39
Clinton 29
Edwards 19
Richardson 6

McCain 34
Romney 29
Huckabee 10
Giuliani 9
Paul 6
Thompson 3

See full results here.

***

Marist New Hampshire College (January 5-6)

Obama 36
Clinton 28
Edwards 22
Richardson 7

McCain 35
Romney 31
Huckabee 13
Giuliani 8
Paul 5
Thompson 4

See full results here.

***

RealClearPolitics.com Average (January 7, 9:31am ET)

Obama 37.4
Clinton 29.6
Edwards 18.8
Richardson 5.5

McCain 34.0
Romney 28.3
Huckabee 11.8
Giuliani 8.7
Paul 7.8
Thompson 2.7

See full results here.

***

Suffolk University New Hampshire Primary Poll (1/5-1/6)

* Among 500 likely Democratic primary voters, Sen. Barack Obama runs at 35%, Sen. Hillary Clinton at 34% in a statewide primary; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 15%.

* Among 500 likely Republican primary voters, former Gov. Mitt Romney runs at 30%, Sen. John McCain t 27% in a statewide primary; former Mayor Rudy Giuliani trails at 10%, former Gov. Mike Huckabee at 9%, Rep. Ron Paul at 8%.

* All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error is 4.4 % for each subgroup.

***

USA Today/Gallup (January 4-6)

Obama 41
Clinton 28
Edwards 19
Richardson 6

McCain 34
Romney 30
Huckabee 13
Paul 8
Giuliani 8
Thompson Hunter

The surveys of 776 New Hampshire residents who are "likely" to vote in the Republican primary and 778 New Hampshire residents who are "likely" to vote in the Democratic primary were all completed after the news from Thursday's Iowa caucuses had been reported.

Each figure has a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points. So Obama's lead is "outside" that range, while McCain's is not.

See the full results here.

***

RealClearPolitics.com Average (January 6, 7:15pm ET)

Obama 35.1
Clinton 30.3
Edwards 18.3
Richardson 5.9

McCain 32.6
Romney 28
Huckabee 11.9
Giuliani 8.7
Paul 8.1
Thompson 2.4

See full results here.

***

CNN/WMUR/UNH Poll (January 5-6 )

Obama 39
Clinton 29
Edwards 16
Richardson 7

McCain 32
Romney 26
Huckabee 14
Giuliani 11
Paul 10
Hunter 1
Thompson 1

The poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire, surveyed 341 likely Democrats and 268 Republicans likely to vote in Tuesday's primary. It had a sampling error of 5 percentage points.

See the full results here.

***

MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon (January 6)

Obama 33
Clinton 31
Edwards 17
Richardson 7

McCain 32
Romney 24
Huckabee 12
Giuliani 10
Paul 8

See full results here.

***

Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 6)

Obama 31
Clinton 30
Edwards 20
Richardson 7

McCain 31
Romney 32
Huckabee 12
Giuliani 7
Paul 6

See full results here.

***

Concord Monitor (January 5)

Obama 34
Clinton 33
Edwards 23
Richardson 4
Kucinich 3

McCain 35
Romney 29
Huckabee 13
Giuliani 8
Paul 7
Thompson 3

See full results here.

***

CNN/WMUR Poll (January 4-5)

Clinton 33%
Obama 33%
Edwards 20%
Richardson 4%
Kucinich 2%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

McCain 33%
Romney 27%
Giuliani 14%
Huckabee 11%
Paul 9%
Hunter 1%
Thompson 1%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

See full results here.

***

American Research Group (January 5)

Obama 38%
Clinton 26%
Edwards 20%
Undecided 8%
Richardson 3%
Gravel 3%
Kucinich 1%

Barack Obama leads John Edwards among men 42% to 21%, with 19% for Hillary Clinton. Among women, Obama leads Clinton 35% to 31%, with 20% for Edwards. Clinton leads Obama among Democrats 34% to 32%, while Obama leads Edwards among undeclared voters (independents) 49% to 21%.

McCain 39%
Romney 25%
Huckabee 14%
Giuliani 7%
Paul 6%
Undecided 6%
Hunter 1%
Keyes 1%
Thompson 1%

John McCain leads Mitt Romney among men 42% to 21% and McCain leads Romney 35% to 30% among women. McCain leads Romney 44% to 19% among undeclared (independent) voters, with 18% for Huckabee. Undeclared voters are now 27% of the total Republican vote.

See full results here.

***

Rasmussen Reports (January 4)

Obama 37%
Clinton 27%
Edwards 19%
Richardson 8%
Kucinich 3%
Gravel 1%

See full results here.

McCain 31%
Romney 26%
Paul 14%
Huckabee 11%
Giuliani 8%
Thompson 5%
Some other candidate 2%

See full results here.

***

Check out HuffPost's comprehensive on-the-ground New Hampshire coverage here.

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