POLITICS

HUFFPOLLSTER: Ted Cruz Is Now An Establishment Candidate To Most GOP Voters

He’s touted his outsider credentials for much of the campaign.

Republicans no longer think of Ted Cruz as an outsider. Latinos are eager to take to the polls to vote against Donald Trump in 2016. And Trump supporters don't think Harriet Tubman should be on the the $20 bill. This is HuffPollster for Friday, April 22, 2016.

GOP VOTERS NOW THINK OF TED CRUZ AS ESTABLISHMENT - HuffPollster: "Here’s the latest proof of how strange this primary cycle has become: Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), who’s long tried to leverage his colleagues’ loathing into a version of outsider cred, is overwhelmingly viewed by his party as an establishment candidate. In a new HuffPost/YouGov survey, 62 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning voters say that Cruz is more of an establishment candidate, while just 29 percent describe him as an outsider. That’s a marked shift since December, when just 36 percent considered him part of the establishment….While that might help Cruz make his case on the floor of a contested convention, it’s unlikely to endear him to his party — 62 percent say they’d prefer a political outsider. In contrast, just 26 percent of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters say the same." [HuffPost

LATINOS MOTIVATED BY TRUMP TO VOTE: Esther Yu-Hsi Lee: "[T]here’s evidence that Latino voters may be 'enthusiastic' to hit the polls in November to defeat Trump’s anti-immigrant, anti-Latino agenda. A national poll released Thursday by [the pro-immigration reform]  America’s Voice and Latino Decisions found that 79 percent of voters had a 'very unfavorable' opinion of Trump….In an open-ended question about why voters were enthusiastic to vote this year, the poll found that 41 percent wanted to fight 'against/stop Trump/fight back anti-immigrant/Latino.' Only three percent noted that they were enthusiastic because they were hoping to be 'against/stop Cruz…' As Trump continues to infuse more anti-immigrant and anti-Latino rhetoric into his speeches, it seems likely he’ll continue to bleed support from Latino voters." [ThinkProgress]

TRUMP SUPPORTERS DISAPPROVE OF HARRIET TUBMAN ON THE $20 BILL - Kayte Korwitts: "Yesterday, historic news hit: a woman will finally appear on the face of American currency...Over half (56%) believe this is the right move….Presidential hopefuls have their own opinions on the matter as well. Donald Trump has expressed his disapproval. His supporters have Trump’s back here with 7 in 10 agreeing that this wasn’t a great idea. On the Democratic side, it’s nearly an even split with 81% of Clinton supporters and 85% of Sanders supporters agreeing to agree with one another….Perhaps surprisingly, slightly more credit users prefer Tubman on the bill than those who pay with cash (60% vs 54%)." [SurveyMonkey]

‘WALMART MOMS’ FOCUS GROUPS SHOW DISTRUST OF PRIMARY SYSTEM - Margaret Chadbourn: “Any attempt to deny Donald Trump the Republican Party’s nomination if he wins the most votes would be wrong and corrupt, a focus group of GOP voters in Pennsylvania said Wednesday night as the state’s primary approaches. Trump has complained about the primary system for weeks, calling it 'rigged,' a message that appears to resonate with these Keystone State voters….Two focus groups organized by the GOP polling firm Public Opinion Strategies and Purple Strategies were questioned Wednesday evening...One group was made up of Republican voters from the Pittsburgh area and the second was comprised of undecided voters from the Philadelphia suburbs….The pollsters who conducted the sessions said the participants were clearly concerned about the idea that a candidate who secures the most votes in the primary could lose the nomination after falling short of the number needed to win outright, which they said contributes to their cynical attitude about the 2016 campaign.” [ABC]

AMERICANS WANT TO LEAD ON GLOBAL HEALTH BUT DON'T THINK MONEY IS THE SOLUTION - Liz Hamel, Ashley Kirzinger, and Mollyann Brodie "The latest survey finds that a majority of the public wants the U.S. to take either the leading role or a major role in trying to solve international problems generally, as well as in improving health for people in developing countries specifically....Seven in ten Americans believe that the current level of U.S. spending on health in developing countries is too little or about right, yet the public is somewhat skeptical about the ability of more spending to lead to progress, with more than half saying that spending more money will not lead to meaningful progress. Another notable trend is the decreasing visibility of U.S. efforts to improve health in developing countries; just over a third of the public says they have heard 'a lot' or 'some' about these efforts in the past 12 months, a decrease of 21 percentage points since 2010." [Kaiser Family Foundation]  

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FRIDAY'S 'OUTLIERS' - Links to the best of news at the intersection of polling, politics and political data:

 -Amy Walter posits what could happen next in the presidential race. [Cook Political Report]   

-Sean Trende says pollsters are now entering an uncharted territory phase of the race. [RCP]  

-Philip Bump explains why Pennsylvania's primary won't really matter for delegate allocation. [WashPost]

- Harry Enten argues that Democrats have not become liberal enough to nominate Sanders. [538]

-Dina Smeltz finds that most Americans agree with Bernie Sanders' stance on Israel. [WashPost]

-Crowdpac uses donation data to determine how liberal or conservative American cities are. [Crowdpac]

-Americans largely care about the environment, but don't take any action to support the cause. [Harris Poll]

-The share of Americans who say they’re environmentalists has dropped. [Gallup]

-Game of Throne fans would rather have Tyrion Lannister, a character from the series, for president than Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton. [SurveyMonkey]

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