A friend of mine in the research industry used to give out little post-it-notes to trainee analysts that said "be wrong boldly." Her reasoning -- if you are bold and right, you will be hailed as a prophet. If you're wrong, most likely the crowd will have moved on by the time your prediction fizzles. But accountability for our past advice is a core value here at RampRate, so we have to see how we did on our 2011 predictions -- and see just how well our crystal ball was working. By our count, we have four hits, two partial hits, one miss, and three TBDs that won't be known until later. What do you think?
So, all told, we didn't do badly, certainly not compared with other prognosticators of more wobbly consistency and clarity. Only one outright miss, and three others that will take a while more to fully determine. That leaves us batting, more or less, .600 with prospects for further improvement. That's enough to get into the Pundit Hall of Fame, presuming of course than any other pundit actually bothered to look back at what they used to predict would happen before things actually did happen.
Up next, predictions for 2012.