Editor's note for those new to Pollster: 'Outliers' is a feature we ordinarily try to post on a near daily basis. Our aim is to point to analysis elsewhere on the web of polling, survey research and data analysis elsewhere on the web that we haven't otherwise linked to elsewhere on pollster. We hope that doing so reflects a philosophy at the heart of the internet: If you like the analysis we post here, you may also be interested in similar content on other sites. An 'outliers' listing is not necessarily an endorsement of the author's analysis or point of view -- at least one of today's 'outliers' requires that disclaimer -- just an effort to point to commentary on polls and election data that is interesting, thought provoking and sometimes light-hearted.
Under the crush of new election polls and our work to get Pollster fully up and running on HuffPost (work that remains very much ongoing), we have fallen down a bit on posting these over the last few weeks. We may not post these on a daily basis over the next weeks, but don't fret 'outliers' fans, the feature lives on.
--Mark Blumenthal
Steven Koczela notes a unique methodology in Rasmussen polls.
Nate Silver writes on "The Uncanny Accuracy of Polling Averages." (Part 2, 3, 4)
Gary Andres asks whether voters worry more about a Republican or Democratic congress.
Chris Good says opinion of Democrats, not Republicans, is driving 2010 trends.
Steve Benen notes that attitudes about the parties may not reflect voting intentions.
Carrol Doherty finds a trend of "supercharged Republican voters."
Glen Bolger asks whether the enthusiasm gap is closing.
Pew Research notes lagging enthusiasm among younger voters.
Tom Jensen says Republicans are still losing moderates.
Steve Singiser identifies 5 Democrats whose demise may have been exaggerated.
Liz Halloran reports on the challenge of polling "likely" voters.
DemFromCT discusses how likely voters screens affect poll results.
Frank Newport reviews Gallup's first likely voter estimates.
Mark Mellman writes that 2010 is "the year of the nut."
David Hill parses the GOP's "Pledge to America."
Frank Newport reviews the current state of public opinion on health care.
Sam Wainwright says to be skeptical of polling on health care reform.
Charlie Cook says most academic and local pre-election polling is "dime store junk."
Michael J. Robinson notices an "ideological flatline" in the US.
PPP finds New Yorkers don't want a "Ground Zero Mosque," but think the developers have a right to build it.
And Joe The Nerd Ferraro doesn't believe in polls.