Nate Silver

A FiveThirtyEight study is making the rounds. Why do people hate organized dance?!
More than one set of estimates exist attempting to figure this out.
In fact, many studies and experimental designs suggest there is bias against women candidates. The Atlantic has a depressing
Why is it the press’s job to predict anything?
538’s presidential model is built in a sub-optimal way. It’s at once far too complex, while also making basic errors that have thrown its projections out of whack.
On this election day, it seems impossible to believe that Donald Trump is within striking distance of the White House.
The vaunted 538 election forecaster is putting his thumb on the scales.
Even now, in the last days of this horrendous campaign, we're amazed by fervent assertions coming from some progressives about Donald Trump. Here are three key myths.
Donald Trump has a new answer for why he's about to lose in a landslide. It's all a vast left-wing conspiracy. No, really.