Brendan Nyhan

As a rule, misinformed people do not change their minds.
By any reasonable standard of what constitutes acceptable public discourse, Donald Trump's presidential campaign should have ended on Wednesday at about 10:50 p.m. That's when he set his extravagantly sprayed hair on fire by indulging in some truly dangerous myths about vaccines.
In the early 1990s the media identified an existential threat: violent crime. But violent crime was actually on the decline in the early '90s -- including a 4 percent drop from 1993 to '94. Thus journalistic malpractice led to policy malpractice, with consequences we continue to live with today.
The takeaway, I guess, is that America should just not have second-term presidents. Going forward, though, the odds of scandal
Hey, America! Are you ready for some high-level presidential scandals? No, no, calm down. I have none to report. But what's being reported is that one day -- maybe someday soon! -- there will be a scandal to report, and this can be totally proven with mathematics. So, should a scandal blossom, it's now been predicted. If one fails to materialize, well, that just means there's one around the corner. The scandal could drop at any moment.
As the monthly Kaiser Foundation tracking surveys show, those high hopes have so far failed to materialize and attitudes
4. The Post/ABC poll did produce a significant increase in the percentage of Americans who say that Obama "understands the
To win elections Democrats need to get the economy moving, and you can't do that in a "centrist" way. They should compromise when they must, but this time they need to make it clear that they are compromising.
As campaign 2010 achieves ubiquity, we'll hear plenty about the threats of inflation, deflation, stagnation and immigration
Also, in response to my question on this subject, he advised that while "estimating the errors on the PIE [pollster-introduced
In "The Irony's Getting a Bit Thick in Here, Department.," Brendan Nyhan decided it would be a good idea to join in Rush Limbaugh's campaign of vilification against Media Matters.