Election Predictions

The swinging needle of poll-watcher anxiety was nowhere to be seen at the start of election night.
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"Two of those keys could potentially turn," said Lichtman. "Gary Johnson could fade away and it's conceivable that America
TV...in all its forms and means of viewing was the primary driver of large audience participation for both Democrats and
One of mankind's great passions (and fantasies) is the hope that we can both predict and control the future. And never does this belief become more fashionable -- and expensive -- than during a Presidential election.
Sometimes, in life, you succeed on your own merits. But other times, you need a little something extra. And when the media thinks that they've caught on to that "something extra," they've got a term for it: the secret weapon.
Okay, Surely There's A "Big Loser," Right? What About Rand Paul? I Don't See Him On This List: Per KSNV My News 3, "Rand
Jan. 28: "Former Massachusetts governor and 2012 GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney said he will not run for president
We've got six states in the Too Close To Call category, but fear not! After providing a rundown of the races, I am adding a section below where I make my own picks for each of them (since it is Election Eve, after all, and thus time to put up or shut up).
There are many sources of uncertainty in election polling other than sampling error. One source of error that looms large in this year's closest races is undecided voters -- people who say they are going to vote, but don't know (or won't say) which candidate they prefer.
In practice, it's much more complicated since you need a way to identify everyone in your population plus a way to contact
An election is one of the few subjects pundits opine on en masse for which there is an unambiguous outcome. Will we remember their accuracy the next time they express a fervent opinion on a subject for which there will be no definitive answer?
Barack Obama is the official winner of the 2012 presidential race, as well as the ultimate king of the Twittersphere. When
If Florida stays in the Obama column, we will have called each state correctly: 51 out of 51, and the Obama Electoral College count bang on 332.
"I'm sure Boulder is happy that our model turned out to be wrong," Bickers said in an interview today. "They can breathe
CNN lights up empire state building to reflect presidential vote
"There are a total of 132,771 tweets mentioning Obama and 120,637 mentioning Romney, giving Obama only 52.4% of the total
Political historian Rick Perlstein, author of Nixonland and writer for Rolling Stone, The Nation and other publications, stopped by The Interview Show to give host Mark Bazer his take on the GOP, Barack Obama and the 2012 election.
Mitt Romney will string together a winning coalition with victories in states ranging from Virginia to Colorado, capturing the popular vote by nearly two points and a sizeable majority of electoral votes, making him the 45th President of the United States.
While Jon Stewart was smacking cable news pundits for being completely unaccountable when it comes to their election predictions