Prediction markets
But prediction markets also say a Democrat is most likely to win in November.
Prediction markets react quickly to Donald Trump’s loss.
WHAT'S HAPPENING
WHAT'S HAPPENING
Political betting markets, which tend to be pretty accurate, put the probability at 61 percent.
But with more than seven months to go and no nominees yet, a lot could change.
Here's why you should care, even though Intrade is now defunct: We media types watch prediction markets closely because they
Intrade goes to great lengths to transparently define the contracts in their markets for hosts of potential pitfalls: candidate deaths, calling outcomes, etc. The investors in this market are fully aware of what they are trading and the risks associate with that.