Presidential approval

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President Barack Obama has yet to win over many Republican or conservative admirers. Yet, there can be little doubt that most of his detractors are doing better today than they were on January 20, 2009 when he was first sworn into office.
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Obama can take comfort in knowing that he's not the first occupant of the Executive Mansion whose legacy was written off prematurely. Abraham Lincoln, for one, had little cause to celebrate his birthday one hundred and fifty years ago.
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The broken relationships of our country's leaders now place us in a perpetual season of Halloween.
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The biggest exceptions were Richard Nixon, whose legacy has become entwined with the Watergate scandal, and Lyndon Johnson
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It's a tough place for Obama to be in with the GOP loaded for bear against him, and Democrats ready to do battle hard against him on what they won't accept in a budget deal. It's a problem that's far bigger for Obama than the momentary drop of a few points in an approval poll.
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Today's NYT news analysis by Jeff Zeleny offers a classic example of how journalists attribute political success to tactical strategies.
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One explanation is that foreign affairs, terrorism and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq are not dominating the our news and
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A USA Today/Gallup poll finds 93 percent approval of the raid, with almost as many, 79 percent, saying they consider the
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Of course, approval ratings capture the public's response to a president's handling of a wide variety of issues and public
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Today, NBC's First Read newsletter suggested that Obama's approval ratings are down as a result of his deficit speech last week. But political events rarely have a significant effect on public opinion.
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As for commenting on the speech itself, I'll repeat what I said in 2007: Cross-posted to brendan-nyhan.com. It's the most
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The reality is that Obama's current standing -- and the rush to blame it on tactical failures -- could be predicted months ago based on structural factors. His approval ratings largely reflect a poor economy.
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Contrast Obama's attempt to develop a politics to justify his economic program with what Reagan did in 1982. Faced with steadily
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One difference is that Reagan, unlike Obama, faced divided government, which limited his ability to enact his agenda. We
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As President Obama contemplates his recent poor poll numbers, he may want to recall that losing the approval of the people seems the norm, not the exception, for presidents.
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More generally, Trende's target is unclear. Both Chait and I have mocked Obama critics who fail to acknowledge the dominant
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Instead, my point in the original post was to criticize the tendency of pundits to invent elaborate rationales for presidential
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The president is starting to look snakebit. He's starting to look unlucky, like Jimmy Carter. It wasn't Mr. Carter's fault