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Why Should Developing Countries Be Preached To By the G7?

Post-crisis regulatory reform efforts show that developing countries are rule takers and G7 countries are the rule makers. All this in spite of the fact that the epicentre of the international financial crisis occurred in developed countries. So why should many of the regulators and supervisors in developed countries claim to know best practices for developing countries?
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This post, authored with David Kempthorne, first appeared on the CIGI blog, Wealth and International Politics.

On the sidelines of the IMF-World Bank annual meetings, the Toronto Centre, which is mandated with training regulators and supervisors from over 170 countries, hosted an enlightening conversation on whether regulatory and supervisory best practices can be taught.

Specifically, a panel was convened to discuss whether developed nations can and should be teaching "best practices" to developing countries. Is there some resentment among developing countries on being preached to about the best practices by developed countries when the latter missed the ball on negative spillovers of their own financial institutions?

Since the global financial crisis, many of the G20 members have listened to the G7 countries, particularly the United States regulators and supervisors, to propose a plethora of rules and regulations for all G20 countries to follow. These new rules and regulations are meant to shore up banking systems, liquidity ratios, and strengthen the Financial Stability Board to monitor the flow of capital.

This reflects previous post-crisis regulatory reform efforts in which developing countries are rule takers and G7 countries are the rule makers. All this in spite of the fact that the epicentre of the international financial crisis occurred in developed countries. So why should many of the regulators and supervisors in developed countries claim to know best practices for developing countries?

The Governor of the Central Bank of Sweden noted that the crisis provide some clear lessons for emerging market economies. The Governor believes that many emerging market economies had weathered the storm because they had high capitalization levels and low loan to deposit levels. With bank activities being more and more cross-border, these international standards are actually helpful. As the Malaysian Central Bank Governor stated, having global governance arrangements will allow the coordination across borders so there is no race to the bottom.

Perhaps more importantly, from a political standpoint, they provide a form of political insulation against domestic political pressure to weaken financial regulatory standards to promote investment and stimulate economic growth. For this purpose, the Basel accords give a good measurement rod for all countries to try and follow. This why the Malaysian Governor of the Central Bank believes that following best practices will, in the long term,[ help to promote balanced economic growth in the globe.

But were international capital adequacy standards the driver behind emerging market economies' strong capital buffers that protected against shocks from the financial crisis? As a Columbian supervisor noted, emerging market economies have been through financial crises before so they were better prepared in the last international financial crisis to withstand some of the negative spillover effects. He noted that his job involves closely monitoring Columbian deposits into Latin American banks. So regional banks have a large influence in many countries of the region, which requires an additional layer of cooperation and co-ordination of policies across borders. The Columbians have been working to identify how to deal with regional systematically-important financial institutions (SIFIs).

The critical issue facing emerging market economies in the post-crisis regulatory reform process has been questions about the suitability and applicability of international financial standards created predominantly by G7 countries. The Malaysian Central Bank Governor noted that her country did not see any of the disruptions of credit supplies or of financial markets coming from the international financial crisis. Some of the global rules and regulations devised in Basel as a result of the crisis have, however, had unintended consequence on her country. She noted how some of the rules and regulations do not have applicability to the context of emerging market economies and yet presumably can increase costs for the financial industry.

There are a number of issues in the run up to the crisis, which raise questions about whether developed market economies are in a position to teach emerging market economies about appropriate regulatory practices. The United States and the United Kingdom refused to subject hedge funds to mandatory registration that would enable regulators to understand the nature of their investments and concentrations of risk in OTC derivative markets. Developed market economies chose to allow banks and investment firms to merge, increasing the integration of financial firms, the concentration of credit risk and the creation of 'too big to fail' financial firms.

But critically, developed financial markets believed that sophisticated banks were able to assess the risk of their own balance sheets through internal risk models. These are some of the critical financial regulatory issues where financial regulators from developed economies have, in hindsight, failed to effectively govern the financial system. These regulatory failures give pause for thought about the appropriateness of developed financial markets being the rule makers after the global financial crisis.

The question of whether developed nations can and should be teaching best-practice standards to developing countries raises a number of important issues about the effective governance of international financial markets after the crisis. The most recent financial crisis highlights the limits of developed countries' financial regulatory regimes, as well as the hubris of regulators and financial markets alike about their knowledge of how to best govern financial markets. But, financial crises in emerging and developing markets in previous years highlight that developing markets are not immune from regulatory failure.

For the effective governance of financial markets going forward it is necessary for regulators from both developed and developing markets to have an effective two way discussion about the potential benefits of alternative approaches to financial regulation. Moreover, it is necessary for the international standards project to allow for nationally differentiated regulatory regimes that conform with international best practice principles. This will enable regulators to maintain high standards of financial regulation that reflect the unique structure of national financial markets and avoid unnecessary and unintended consequences for emerging economies.

The 10 Countries Deepest In Debt
10. United Kingdom(01 of10)
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Debt as a percentage of GDP: 80.9 percentGeneral government debt: $1.99 trillionGDP per capita (PPP): $35,860Nominal GDP: $2.46 trillionUnemployment rate: 8.4 percentCredit rating: AaaAlthough the UK has one of the largest debt-to-GDP ratios among developed nations, it has managed to keep its economy relatively stable. The UK is not part of the eurozone and has its own independent central bank. The UK's independence has helped protect it from being engulfed in the European debt crisis. Government bond yields have remained low. The country also has retained its Aaa credit rating, reflecting its secure financial standing.Read more at 24/7 Wall St. (credit:AP)
9. Germany(02 of10)
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Debt as a percentage of GDP: 81.8 percentGeneral government debt: $2.79 trillionGDP per capita (PPP): $37,591Nominal GDP: $3.56 trillionUnemployment rate: 5.5 percentCredit rating: AaaAs the largest economy and financial stronghold of the EU, Germany has the most interest in maintaining debt stability for itself and the entire eurozone. In 2010, when Greece was on the verge of defaulting on its debt, the IMF and EU were forced to implement a 45 billion euro bailout package. A good portion of the bill was footed by Germany. The country has a perfect credit rating and an unemployment rate of just 5.5 percent, one of the lowest in Europe. Despite its relatively strong economy, Germany will have one of the largest debt-to-GDP ratios among developed nations of 81.8 percent, according to Moody's projections.Read more at 24/7 Wall St. (credit:AP)
8. France(03 of10)
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Debt as a percentage of GDP: 85.4 percentGeneral government debt: $2.26 trillionGDP per capita (PPP): $33,820Nominal GDP: $2.76 trillionUnemployment rate: 9.9 percentCredit rating: AaaFrance is the third-biggest economy in the EU, with a GDP of $2.76 trillion, just shy of the UK's $2.46 trillion. In January, after being long-considered one of the more economically stable countries, Standard & Poor's downgraded French sovereign debt from a perfect AAA to AA+. This came at the same time eight other euro nations, including Spain, Portugal and Italy, were also downgraded. S&P's action represented a serious blow to the government, which had been claiming its economy as stable as the UK's. Moody's still rates the country at Aaa, the highest rating, but changed the country's outlook to negative on Monday.Read more at 24/7 Wall St. (credit:AP)
7. United States(04 of10)
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Debt as a percentage of GDP: 85.5 percentGeneral government debt: $12.8 trillionGDP per capita (PPP): $47,184Nominal GDP: $15.13 trillionUnemployment rate: 8.3 percentCredit rating: AaaU.S. government debt in 2001 was estimated at 45.6 percent of total GDP. By 2011, after a decade of increased government spending, U.S. debt was 85.5 percent of GDP. In 2001, U.S. government expenditure as a percent of GDP was 33.1 percent. By 2010, is was 39.1 percent. In 2005, U.S. debt was $6.4 trillion. By 2011, U.S. debt has doubled to $12.8 trillion, according to Moody's estimates. While Moody's still rates the U.S. at a perfect Aaa, last August Standard & Poor's downgraded the country from AAA to AA+.Read more at 24/7 Wall St. (credit:AP)
6. Belgium(05 of10)
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Debt as a percentage of GDP: 97.2 percentGeneral government debt: $479 billionGDP per capita (PPP): $37,448Nominal GDP: $514 billionUnemployment rate: 7.2 percentCredit rating: Aa1Belgium's public debt-to-GDP ratio peaked in 1993 at about 135 percent, but was subsequently reduced to about 84 percent by 2007. In just four years, the ratio has risen to nearly 95 percent. In December 2011, Moody's downgraded Belgium's local and foreign currency government bonds from Aa1 to Aa3. In its explanation of the downgrade, the rating agency cited "the growing risk to economic growth created by the need for tax hikes or spending cuts." In January of this year, the country was forced to make about $1.3 billion in spending cuts, according to The Financial Times, to avoid failing "to meet new European Union fiscal rules designed to prevent a repeat of the eurozone debt crisis."Read more at 24/7 Wall St. (credit:AP)
5. Portugal(06 of10)
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Debt as a percentage of GDP: 101.6 percentGeneral government debt: $257 billionGDP per capita (PPP): $25,575Nominal GDP: $239 billionUnemployment rate: 13.6 percentCredit rating: Ba3Portugal suffered greatly from the global recession -- more than many other countries -- partly because of its low GDP per capita. In 2011, the country received a $104 billion bailout from the EU and the IMF due to its large budget deficit and growing public debt. The Portuguese government now "plans to trim the budget deficit from 9.8 percent of gross domestic product in 2010 to 4.5 percent in 2012 and to the EU ceiling of 3 percent in 2013," according Business Week. The country's debt was downgraded to junk status by Moody's in July 2011 and downgraded again to Ba3 on Monday.Read more at 24/7 Wall St. (credit:AP)
4. Ireland(07 of10)
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Debt as a percentage of GDP: 108.1 percentGeneral government debt: $225 billionGDP per capita (PPP): $39,727Nominal GDP: $217 billionUnemployment rate: 14.5 percentCredit rating: Ba1Ireland was once the healthiest economy in the EU. In the early 2000s, it had the lowest unemployment rate of any developed industrial country. During that time, nominal GDP was growing at an average rate of roughly 10 percent each year. However, when the global economic recession hit, Ireland's economy began contracting rapidly. In 2006, the Irish government had a budget surplus of 2.9 percent of GDP. In 2010, it accrued a staggering deficit of 32.4 percent of GDP. Since 2001, Ireland's debt has increased more than 500 percent. Moody's estimates that the country's general government debt was $224 billion, well more than its GDP of $216 billion. Moody's rates Ireland's sovereign debt at Ba1, or junk status.Read more at 24/7 Wall St. (credit:AP)
3. Italy(08 of10)
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Debt as a percentage of GDP: 120.5 percentGeneral government debt: $2.54 trillionGDP per capita (PPP): $31,555Nominal GDP: $2.2 trillionUnemployment rate: 8.9 percentCredit rating: A3Italy's large public debt is made worse by the country's poor economic growth. In 2010, GDP grew at a sluggish 1.3 percent. This was preceded by two years of falling GDP. In December 2011, the Italian government passed an austerity package in order to lower borrowing costs. The Financial Times reports that according to consumer association Federconsumatori, the government's nearly $40 billion package of tax increases and spending cuts will cost the average household about $1,500 each year for the next three years. On Monday, Moody's downgraded Italy's credit rating to A3, from A2.Read more at 24/7 Wall St. (credit:AP)
2. Greece(09 of10)
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Debt as a percentage of GDP: 168.2 percentGeneral government debt: $489 billionGDP per capita (PPP): $28,154Nominal GDP: $303 billionUnemployment rate: 19.2 percentCredit rating: CaGreece became the poster child of the European financial crisis in 2009 and 2010. After it was bailed out by the rest of the EU and the IMF, it appeared that matters could not get any worse. Instead, Greece's economy has continued to unravel, prompting new austerity measures and talks of an even more serious default crisis. In 2010, Greece's debt as a percent of GDP was 143 percent. Last year, Moody's estimates Greece's debt increased to 163 percent of GDP. Greece would need a second bailout worth 130 billion euro -- the equivalent of roughly $172 billion -- in order to prevent the country from defaulting on its debt in March.Read more at 24/7 Wall St. (credit:AP)
1. Japan(10 of10)
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Debt as a percentage of GDP: 233.1 percentGeneral government debt: $13.7 trillionGDP per capita (PPP): $33,994Nominal GDP: $5.88 trillionUnemployment rate: 4.6 percentCredit rating: Aa3Japan's debt-to-GDP ratio of 233.1 percent is the highest among the world's developed nations by a large margin. Despite the country's massive debt, it has managed to avoid the type of economic distress affecting nations such as Greece and Portugal. This is largely due to Japan's healthy unemployment rate and population of domestic bondholders, who consistently fund Japanese government borrowing. Japanese vice minister Fumihiko Igarashi said in a speech in November 2011 that "95 percent of Japanese government bonds have been financed domestically so far, with only 5 percent held by foreigners." Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda has proposed the doubling of Japan's 5 percent national sales tax by 2015 to help bring down the nation's debt.Read more at 24/7 Wall St. (credit:AP)
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