In the buildup to Monday's election (and eventual Liberal party majority victory), one story gathered a non-trivial amount of attention: an Ontario riding's 52-year streak has ended.
Sarnia-Lambton has served as a bellwether riding since 1963 — the party of the victorious MP there has gone on to win the federal election.
For the first time in over half a century, the riding has missed the mark. The voters of Sarnia-Lambton elected Conservative candidate Marilyn Gladu, even though her Tory party failed to form government.
Bellwether districts exist all over the world. In the United States for example, Missouri was commonly called a bellwether state and correctly predicted 96.4 per cent of federal election results for a century from 1904 to 2004.
Now that Sarnia-Lambton's perfect 52-year streak has been upset, it competes with Peterborough-Kawartha (also in Ontario) for Canada's top bellwether riding.
Peterborough-Kawartha has correctly predicted the winning party on a provincial level since 1965, getting it wrong only once in 1980.
So if you've been searching for the most obscure-yet-interesting factoid to come out of this election, you're welcome.
Correction - Oct. 20, 2015: An earlier version of this story stated that Marilyn Gladu was the incumbent; in fact, she is replacing an incumbent MP. The story has now been updated to reflect that.
Canada Election Night 2015
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Open Image ModalLiberal leader and incoming prime minister Justin Trudeau hugs his mother Margaret Trudeau as he makes his way on stage at Liberal party headquarters in Montreal. (credit:Justin Tang/CP)
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Open Image ModalLiberal Leader and incoming prime minister Justin Trudeau and his wife Sophie Gregoire wave to the crowd following his victory speech at Liberal party headquarters in Montreal on Oct. 19, 2015. (credit:FotoImage)
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Open Image ModalJustin Trudeau's wife Sophie Gregoire applauds during his speech to supporters in Montreal. (credit:FotoImage)
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Open Image ModalConservative Leader Stephen Harper pauses while addressing supporters at an election night gathering in Calgary. (credit:Darryl Dyck/Canadian Press)
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Open Image ModalNDP Leader Tom Mulcair speaks to supporters in Montreal. (credit:Ryan Remiorz/Canadian Press)
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Open Image ModalA woman dances in front of giant screens showing election results at Liberal campaign headquarters in Montreal. (credit:Sean Kilpatrick/Canadian Press)
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Open Image ModalLiberal supporters celebrate results at Liberal election headquarters in Montreal. (credit:Sean Kilpatrick/CP)
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Open Image ModalAdam Vaughan supporters do the wave as they await the his speech at the Rivoli in Toronto. (credit:Marta Iwanek/CP)
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Open Image ModalConservative Party supporters hold a sign thanking Leader Steven Harper at the party's election night headquarters in Calgary. (credit:Darryl Dyck/CP)
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Open Image ModalConservative Party supporters Ross Bucsis, left, and Anita Bucsis watch federal election results at the party's election night headquarters in Calgary. (credit:Darryl Dyck/CP)
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Open Image ModalConservative Party supporters Ross Bucsis, left, and Anita Bucsis watch federal election results at the party's election night headquarters in Calgary. (credit:Darryl Dyck/CP)
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Open Image ModalGreen Party Leader Elizabeth May, speaks to volunteers, campaign staff and supporters, after finding out she's been re-elected during election night at the Victoria Conference Centre in Victoria, B.C. (credit:Chad Hipolito/Canadian Press)
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Open Image ModalAn NDP supporter looks on as results come in at the NDP federal election night headquarters in Montreal. (credit:Graham Hughes/CP)
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Open Image ModalTwo Bloc Quebecois supporters watch election results at the Bloc Quebecois election headquarters. (credit:Jacques Boissinot/CP)
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Open Image ModalLiberal Leader Justin Trudeau plays with son Hadrien as he watches the results with his wife Sophie Gregoire, son Xavier and daughter Ella-Grace at a hotel in downtown Montreal on Oct. 19, 2015. (credit:Paul Chiasson/CP)
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Open Image ModalNDP Leader Thomas Mulcair watches election results come in with his family in a Montreal hotel room on Oct. 19, 2015.
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Open Image ModalNDP supporters watch election results come in at the NDP election centre in Montreal. (credit:Fred Chartrand/CP)
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Open Image ModalBill Casey, Liberal candidate for the riding of Cumberland Colchester, and his wife Rosemary react after winning his seat in the 42nd Canadian general election in Amherst. Casey left the Conservatives after a long career as an MP after a dispute with Stephen Harper over the Canada–Newfoundland and Labrador Atlantic Accord. (credit:Andrew Vaughan/CP)
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