Fed's 2013 Stress Test Scenarios Create Citigroup Headache

The Fed Just Handed Citi A HUGE Problem
Open Image Modal
In this Oct. 6, 2012, photo, a Citibank logo is shown in the window of one of the bank's offices in New York. Citigroup reported earnings Monday, Oct. 15, 2012, that beat analysts' expectations, after stripping out one-time items like a big write-down it had to take because it got less money than it had hoped when it negotiated to sell its stake in its retail brokerage. (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan)

This year has just been one headache after another for Citigroup, and the Federal Reserve has made it more likely that Citi kicks off 2013 with a migraine, too.

The Fed on Thursday announced the rules for the next season of its low-rated reality show, Stress-Test Survivor. The rules introduced a new wrinkle for 2013: Banks have to prove that they've got the capital to handle a nasty economic downturn in Asia.

And you'll never guess who has massive exposure to Asia! OK, actually, you guessed it: That's right, it's Citigroup. Bloomberg points out that Citi, under ousted CEO Vikram Pandit, expanded willy-nilly into Asia in over the years and employs thousands of people there. At last check, the bank had $356 billion in consumer-banking and trading assets in Asia, by Bloomberg's count.

The news pushed Citi's stock price down 2.5 percent on Friday, far worse than its peers such as JPMorgan Chase, which were down less than one percent.

Citi, you may recall, kicked off 2012 as one of just a few banks to fail the Fed's 2012 stress tests, even without the massive-Asian-downturn scenario. That meant the bank wasn't allowed to buy back stock or give money to shareholders without first raising more capital.

The stress-test failure was the source of more misery for Citigroup the rest of the year, probably contributing to shareholders rejecting Pandit's pay package in a stunning bit of activism, and ultimately leading to Pandit's messy defenestration a month ago.

New CEO Michael Corbat has less than eight weeks to get Citi's house in order before January 7, when banks are required to submit their new capital plans to the Fed for stress-testing. That will be its own sort of stress test.

Before You Go

Absurd CEO Arguments Against Human Rights
Child Labor Prohibitions Will Ruin Us(01 of08)
Open Image Modal
"The new child labor law making the willful employment of children under the age of fourteen years a misdemeanor.. will be fought both in and out of the courts by the glass manufacturers..who claim the glass industry will be ruined by the measure."To Fight Child Labor Law: New Jersey's Statute Will Be Opposed Bitterly by Glass Manufacturers, August 10, 1903 (credit:WikiMedia:)
Without Slavery We'd Have No Cotton(02 of08)
Open Image Modal
"The first and most obvious effect, would be to put an end to the cultivation of our great Southern staple... Imagine an extensive rice or cotton plantation cultivated by free laborers, who might perhaps strike for an increase of wages, at a season when the neglect of a few days would insure the destruction of the whole crop. Even if it were possible to procure laborers at all, what planter would venture to carry on his operations under such circumstances?""Slavery in the Light of Social Ethics" by Chancelor Harper (credit:<a href="http://www.flickr.com/" role="link" class=" js-entry-link cet-external-link" data-vars-item-name="Flickr" data-vars-item-type="text" data-vars-unit-name="5bb2dcf2e4b0480ca65d890b" data-vars-unit-type="buzz_body" data-vars-target-content-id="http://www.flickr.com/" data-vars-target-content-type="url" data-vars-type="web_external_link" data-vars-subunit-name="before_you_go_slideshow" data-vars-subunit-type="component" data-vars-position-in-subunit="13" data-vars-position-in-unit="18">Flickr</a>:<a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/75426880@N06/7223011890" role="link" class=" js-entry-link cet-external-link" data-vars-item-name="TradingCardsNPS" data-vars-item-type="text" data-vars-unit-name="5bb2dcf2e4b0480ca65d890b" data-vars-unit-type="buzz_body" data-vars-target-content-id="http://www.flickr.com/photos/75426880@N06/7223011890" data-vars-target-content-type="url" data-vars-type="web_external_link" data-vars-subunit-name="before_you_go_slideshow" data-vars-subunit-type="component" data-vars-position-in-subunit="14" data-vars-position-in-unit="19">TradingCardsNPS</a>)
8 Hour Work Days Doom The Railroads(03 of08)
Open Image Modal
"The railroads have estimated that it would cost them $50,000,000 a year to give the members of the four brotherhoods the eight-hour day, and they are by no means assured that other workers, such as telegraphers and switchmen will not try to come in under its benefits, thus increasing the cost still further."Railroads United In General Attack On the 8-Hour Act, The New York Times, November 16, 1916 (credit:Shutterstock)
Social Security Will Kill American Prosperity(04 of08)
Open Image Modal
"One employer tells me this law will increase his costs between 10 and 15 percent. If this is added to selling prices, what will it do to sales, and hence employment? If it is taken out of the labor fund, what will it do to the purchasing power of all who work for a living, and hence to national prosperity?"Social Security: Effect of Tax on Payrolls Viewed With Alarm, by R.P. Ellis, The New York Times, November 17, 1935 (credit:<a href="http://www.flickr.com/" role="link" class=" js-entry-link cet-external-link" data-vars-item-name="Flickr" data-vars-item-type="text" data-vars-unit-name="5bb2dcf2e4b0480ca65d890b" data-vars-unit-type="buzz_body" data-vars-target-content-id="http://www.flickr.com/" data-vars-target-content-type="url" data-vars-type="web_external_link" data-vars-subunit-name="before_you_go_slideshow" data-vars-subunit-type="component" data-vars-position-in-subunit="9" data-vars-position-in-unit="14">Flickr</a>:<a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/36645092@N02/6883589126" role="link" class=" js-entry-link cet-external-link" data-vars-item-name="MilitaryHealth" data-vars-item-type="text" data-vars-unit-name="5bb2dcf2e4b0480ca65d890b" data-vars-unit-type="buzz_body" data-vars-target-content-id="http://www.flickr.com/photos/36645092@N02/6883589126" data-vars-target-content-type="url" data-vars-type="web_external_link" data-vars-subunit-name="before_you_go_slideshow" data-vars-subunit-type="component" data-vars-position-in-subunit="10" data-vars-position-in-unit="15">MilitaryHealth</a>)
Ban On Cigarette Ads Is Silly!(05 of08)
Open Image Modal
"The Tobacco Advisory Committee, representing the manufacturers, called the ban unjustified and said it would not solve the question of smoking and health. A spokesman said that all cigarette advertising was brand advertising and that there was little or not evidence that this had increased the consumption of individual smokers."The Cigarette Companies Would Rather Fight Than Switch by Elizabeth B. Drew, The New York Times, May 4, 1969 (credit:WikiMedia:)
Cigarette Taxes Will Kill Small Business Owners(06 of08)
Open Image Modal
"Re-enactment of the city's 1-cent-a-package tax on cigarettes will defeat its own purpose by driving thousands of small retailers out of business, the finance committee of the City Council was told yesterday at a public hearing."City Urged To Drop Its Cigarette Tax, The New York Times, June 16, 1939 (credit:<a href="http://www.flickr.com/" role="link" class=" js-entry-link cet-external-link" data-vars-item-name="Flickr" data-vars-item-type="text" data-vars-unit-name="5bb2dcf2e4b0480ca65d890b" data-vars-unit-type="buzz_body" data-vars-target-content-id="http://www.flickr.com/" data-vars-target-content-type="url" data-vars-type="web_external_link" data-vars-subunit-name="before_you_go_slideshow" data-vars-subunit-type="component" data-vars-position-in-subunit="5" data-vars-position-in-unit="10">Flickr</a>:<a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/23479143@N07/4387690879" role="link" class=" js-entry-link cet-external-link" data-vars-item-name="Cuito Cuanavale" data-vars-item-type="text" data-vars-unit-name="5bb2dcf2e4b0480ca65d890b" data-vars-unit-type="buzz_body" data-vars-target-content-id="http://www.flickr.com/photos/23479143@N07/4387690879" data-vars-target-content-type="url" data-vars-type="web_external_link" data-vars-subunit-name="before_you_go_slideshow" data-vars-subunit-type="component" data-vars-position-in-subunit="6" data-vars-position-in-unit="11">Cuito Cuanavale</a>)
Minimum Wage Laws Will Hurt Old People(07 of08)
Open Image Modal
"The first ill effect of raising the minimum wage to the standard of the average wage would be to cause the weak, slow, and the aged--and especially unskilled young women and girls--to fall by the wayside. These classes of workers are always a drain upon the employer, for the overhead charges of a factory are just as great whether the places be occupied by good, quick workers or poor, slow ones, therefore a smaller output of the latter causes a loss by raising the percentage of these overhead charges. An advance in wages... adds to this loss and forces the employer to discharge the sub-average, giving preference to strong workers who already earn the minimum."The Minimum Wage: Should Worthy Laborers Be Sacrificed to Establish It? by Marcus M. Marks, The New York Times, March 25, 1913 (credit:WikiMedia:)
Seatbelts Laws Shouldn't Be Legislated(08 of08)
Open Image Modal
"The auto industry's Big Three told congress today that the public should be educated to use auto safety seat belts and not forced into it by legislation."Car Makers Oppose Law On Seat Belts, The New York Times, August 8, 1957 (credit:<a href="http://www.flickr.com/" role="link" class=" js-entry-link cet-external-link" data-vars-item-name="Flickr" data-vars-item-type="text" data-vars-unit-name="5bb2dcf2e4b0480ca65d890b" data-vars-unit-type="buzz_body" data-vars-target-content-id="http://www.flickr.com/" data-vars-target-content-type="url" data-vars-type="web_external_link" data-vars-subunit-name="before_you_go_slideshow" data-vars-subunit-type="component" data-vars-position-in-subunit="1" data-vars-position-in-unit="6">Flickr</a>:<a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/40567541@N08/7838241314" role="link" class=" js-entry-link cet-external-link" data-vars-item-name="State Farm" data-vars-item-type="text" data-vars-unit-name="5bb2dcf2e4b0480ca65d890b" data-vars-unit-type="buzz_body" data-vars-target-content-id="http://www.flickr.com/photos/40567541@N08/7838241314" data-vars-target-content-type="url" data-vars-type="web_external_link" data-vars-subunit-name="before_you_go_slideshow" data-vars-subunit-type="component" data-vars-position-in-subunit="2" data-vars-position-in-unit="7">State Farm</a>)