Markets Tumble Amid Brexit Chaos

The vote to leave the EU has sparked a panic among investors around the world.
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By Herbert Lash and Edward Krudy

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Global stock markets lost about $2 trillion in value on Friday after Britain voted to leave the European Union, while sterling suffered a record one-day plunge to a 31-year low and money poured into safe-haven gold and government bonds.

The blow to investor confidence and the uncertainty the vote sparked could keep the U.S. Federal Reserve from raising interest rates as planned this year, and even spark a new round of emergency policy easing from major central banks.

The move blindsided investors, who had expected Britain to vote to stay in the EU, and sparked sharp repricing across asset classes. Mainland European equity markets took the brunt of selling as investors feared the vote could destabilize the 28-member bloc by prompting more referendums.

The traditional safe-harbor assets of top-rated government debt, the Japanese yen and gold all jumped. Spot gold rose nearly 4 percent and the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell to a low of 1.406 percent, last seen in 2012, though it climbed higher in afternoon trading.

Stocks tumbled in Europe. Frankfurt and Paris each fell 7 percent to 8 percent. Italian and Spanish markets posted their sharpest one-day drops ever, falling more than 12 percent, led by a dive in European bank stocks. Italy's Unicredit fell 24 percent while Spain's Banco Santander fell 20 percent.

London's FTSE dropped 3.2 percent, with some investors speculating that the plunge in sterling could benefit Britain's economy. The index closed up 2 percent for the week for its best weekly gain in over two months.

"I think markets were really caught off guard today, that's why you are seeing a huge risk-off trade," said Jeff Kravetz, a strategist at the Private Client Reserve at U.S. Bank. "In the end, when markets start to settle down, I think they are going to realize that this is not the end of the world."

Still, Britain's big banks took a $100 billion battering, with Lloyds, Barclays  and RBS plunging as much as 30 percent, although they cut those losses nearly in half later in the day.

Stocks on Wall Street traded down more than 3 percent, with the Dow Jones industrial average dropping as much as 655 points, its worst daily drop in 10 months.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 611.21 points, or 3.39 percent, to 17,399.86, the S&P 500 lost 76.02 points, or 3.6 percent, to 2,037.3 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 202.06 points, or 4.12 percent, to 4,707.98.

MSCI's all-country world stock index fell 4.8 percent.

Voting results showed a 51.9/48.1 percent split for leaving, setting the UK on an uncertain path and dealing the largest setback to European efforts to forge greater unity since World War Two.

The British pound dived by 18 U.S. cents at one point, to its lowest since 1985. The euro slid 3 percent to $1.1050 as investors feared for its very future.

Sterling was last down 8.3 percent at $1.3642 , having carved out a range of $1.3228 to $1.5022. The fall was even larger than during the global financial crisis and the currency was moving two or three cents in the blink of an eye.

The Bank of England, European Central Bank and the People's Bank of China all said they were ready to provide liquidity if needed to ensure global market stability.

SHOCKWAVES

The shockwaves affected all asset classes and regions.

The safe-haven yen jumped 3.8 percent to 102.36 per dollar, having been as low as 106.81. The dollar's peak decline of 4 percent was the largest since 1998.

Emerging market currencies across Asia and eastern Europe and South Africa's rand all buckled on fears that investors could pull out. Poland's zloty slumped 4.7 percent.

Europe's safety play, the 10-year German government bond, surged, with yields tumbling back into negative territory and a new record low.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slid almost 3.4 percent. Tokyo's Nikkei had its worst fall since 2011, down 7.9 percent.

Investors stampeded into low-risk sovereign bonds, with U.S. 10-year notes up around 1.5 points in price to yield 1.5718 percent. Earlier, the yield dipped to 1.406 percent.

The rally even extended to UK bonds, despite a warning from ratings agency Standard & Poor's that it was likely to downgrade Britain's triple-A credit rating if it left the EU. Yields on benchmark 10-year gilts fell 27 basis points to 1.096 pct .

Across the Atlantic, investors were pricing in less chance of another hike in U.S. interest rates given the Federal Reserve had cited a British exit from the EU as one reason to be cautious on tightening.

The cost for Wall Street to fund dollar-based trades rose on Friday to the highest in nearly three months.

Oil prices slumped around 5 percent amid fears of a broader economic slowdown that could reduce demand. U.S. crude shed $2.51 to $47.60 a barrel while Brent fell 4.9 percent to $48.42.

Industrial metal copper sank 1.7 percent but gold leaped nearly 5 percent higher thanks to its perceived safe-haven status.

 

(Additional reporting by Sadiq Iqbal Ahmed, Caroline Valetkevitch, Olivia Oran and David Henery in New York Editing by Nick Zieminski and Dan Grebler)

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Before You Go

Brexit Wins
(01 of11)
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The 'out' exit sign directs media and guests away from the announcement of the final voting results of the EU referendum at Manchester Town Hall on June 24, 2016 in Manchester, England. The result from the historic EU referendum has now been declared and the United Kingdom has voted to LEAVE the European Union. (credit:Christopher Furlong via Getty Images)
(02 of11)
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British Prime Minister David Cameron speaks to the press in front of 10 Downing street in central London on June 24, 2016. Cameron announced Friday he will resign after Britons voted to leave the European Union despite his campaign to keep it in the bloc. (credit:ADRIAN DENNIS/Getty Images)
(03 of11)
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Nigel Farage leaves Milbank TV studios after the UK has voted by 52 percent to 48 percent to leave the European Union after 43 years in an historic referendum, in London, United Kingdom on June 24, 2016. (credit:Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)
(04 of11)
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A photo taken on June 24, 2016, shows an amalgamation of the French and United Kingdom flag flying from a flagpole on the top of the castle of Hardelot, the cultural center of the Entente Cordiale (the colonial-era promise of cross-channel friendship between Britain and France) in Neufchatel-Hardelot, northern France. Britain has voted to break out of the European Union, striking a thunderous blow against the bloc and spreading panic through world markets on June 24, 2016 as sterling collapsed to a 31-year low. (credit:PHILIPPE HUGUEN/Getty Images)
(05 of11)
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An arrangement of newspapers pictured in London on June 24, 2016, shows the front page of the London Evening Standard reporting the resignation of British Prime Minister David Cameron following the result of the U.K.'s vote to leave the EU in the June 23 referendum. Cameron is pictured holding hands with his wife Samantha as they come out from 10 Downing Street. Britain voted to break away from the European Union on June 24, dealing a thunderous blow to the 60-year-old bloc that sent world markets plunging. (credit:DANIEL SORABJI/Getty Images)
(06 of11)
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Trader sit at his desk under the day's performance board that shows a dive in the value of the DAX index of companies at the Frankfurt Stock exchange the day after a majority of the British public voted for leaving the European Union on June 24, 2016 in Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Many prominent corporate CEOs and leading economists have warned that a Brexit would have strongly negative consequences for the British economy and repercussions across Europe as well. (credit:Thomas Lohnes via Getty Images)
(07 of11)
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A poster featuring a Brexit vote ballot with 'out' tagged is on display at a book shop window in Berlin on June 24, 2016. Britain has voted to break out of the European Union, striking a thunderous blow against the bloc and spreading panic through world markets on June 24 as sterling collapsed to a 31-year low. (credit:JOHN MACDOUGALL/Getty Images)
(08 of11)
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A currency trader rubs his eyes at the foreign exchange dealing room in Seoul, South Korea, Friday, June 24, 2016. Asian stock markets were volatile on Friday with Tokyo stocks and U.S. futures plunging as early vote results on whether Britain should stay in the European Union showed a tight race. (credit:ASSOCIATED PRESS)
(09 of11)
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A European Union flag, with a hole cut in the middle, flies at half-mast outside a home in Knutsford Cheshire after today's historic referendum on June 24, 2016 in Knutsford, United Kingdom. The results from the historic EU referendum have now been declared and the United Kingdom has voted to LEAVE the European Union. (credit:Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)
(10 of11)
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A British flag which was washed away by heavy rains the day before lies on the street in London, Britain, June 24, 2016 after Britain voted to leave the European Union. (credit:Reinhard Krause/Reuters)
(11 of11)
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A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York on Friday, June 24, 2016. U.S. stocks tumbled, joining a worldwide selloff with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping more than 375 points, as the U.K.'s decision to leave the European Union fanned speculation that a divided Europe would put another brake on already fragile global growth. (credit:Bloomberg via Getty Images)