Supermoon Earthquakes? Not Likely, Seismologists Say

Why Supermoon Won't Destroy Earth
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By: Natalie Wolchover
Published: 05/03/2012 10:45 AM EDT on Lifes Little Mysteries

Astronomers call it perigee-syzygy; the rest of us call it "supermoon." Either way, the alignment of the sun and moon will coincide with the moon's closest approach to Earth on Saturday (May 5), resulting in the biggest full moon of the year. But don't worry, it won't break Earth.

Saturday's supermoon will be especially super. Richard Nolle, the astrologer who coined the term "supermoon," defined it as a full moon that occurs within 12 hours of lunar perigee, or the point in the moon's slightly non-circular monthly orbit when it swings closest to our planet. On Saturday, the timing of the two events will be almost perfect: the moon will reach its perigee distance of 221,802 miles (356,955 kilometers) — the closest lunar perigee of 2012, in fact — at 11:34 p.m. Eastern Time, and it will fall in line with the sun (thereby becoming full) just one minute later.

Thus, our satellite will loom even larger than the supermoon of March 19, 2011, when perigee and full moon fell 50 minutes apart. Nonetheless, just as last year's supermoon passed by without triggering any of the earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and chaos that were predicted by some corners of the Internet, this year's event will almost certainly be similarly tame. Seismologists have found no evidence to believe that supermoons heighten seismic activity — at least not over and above the effects of run-of-the-mill moons.

Under normal conditions, the moon is close enough to Earth to make its weighty presence felt: It causes the ebb and flow of the ocean tides. The moon's gravity can even cause small but measureable ebbs and flows in the continents, called "land tides" or "solid Earth tides," too. The tides are greatest during full and new moons, when the sun and moon are aligned either on the opposite or same sides of the Earth. [Photos: Mysterious Objects Spotted on the Moon]

According to John Vidale, a seismologist at the University of Washington in Seattle and director of the Pacific Northwest Seismic Network, particularly dramatic land and ocean tides do occasionally trigger earthquakes. "Both the moon and sun do stress the Earth a tiny bit, and when we look hard we can see a very small increase in tectonic activity when they're aligned," Vidale told Life's Little Mysteries during the furor surrounding last year's supermoon.

At times of full and new moons, "you see a less-than-1-percent increase in earthquake activity, and a slightly higher response in volcanoes," he said.

However, the moon's smidgen of extra gravitational pull at lunar perigee is not a big enough increase from its pull at other times to measurably increase the likelihood of natural disasters. "A lot of studies have been done on this kind of thing by USGS scientists and others," said John Bellini, a geophysicist at the U.S. Geological Survey. "They haven't found anything significant at all."

The scientists said the effect of the supermoon is somewhere between "it has no effect" and "the effect is so small you don't see it."

In short, Vidale told us in anticipation of Saturday's event, tidal forces are real but tiny. "The stresses driving earthquakes are orders of magnitude larger. Decades of earthquake records show at best a minuscule influence of tides on the times of earthquakes. No extra fear of earthquakes is warranted during a 'supermoon', although a healthy respect for their destructive power is appropriate at all times."

So sit back, relax, and enjoy the close encounter with our nearest and dearest cosmic companion. And if you snap an amazing photo of the supermoon and would like to share it with SPACE.com for a story or gallery, send photos and comments to managing editor Tariq Malik at: tmalik@space.com.

Follow Natalie Wolchover on Twitter @nattyover. Follow Life's Little Mysteries on Twitter @llmysteries, then join us on Facebook.

Copyright 2012 Lifes Little Mysteries, a TechMediaNetwork company. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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Before You Go

Supermoon 2011
A perigee moon rises above the Almudena(01 of117)
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A perigee moon rises above the Almudena Cathedral in Madrid on March 19, 2011. A perigee moon is visible when the moon's orbit position is at its closest point to Earth during a full moon phase. AFP PHOTOAFP PHOTO/ Pedro ARMESTRE (Photo credit should read PEDRO ARMESTRE/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:Getty)
Biggest Moon In Almost 20 Years Rises In DC(02 of117)
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WASHINGTON - MARCH 19: In this handout photo provided by NASA, the full moon is seen as it rises near the Lincoln Memorial, March 19, 201, in Washington, DC. The full moon tonight is called a 'Super Perigee Moon' since it is at it's closest to Earth in 2011. The last full moon so big and close to Earth occurred in March of 1993. (Photo by Bill Ingalls/NASA via Getty Images) (credit:Getty)
A perigee moon rises next to the Nationa(03 of117)
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A perigee moon rises next to the National Monument and the Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, on March 19, 2011. A perigee moon is visible when the moon's orbit position is at its closest point to Earth during a full moon phase. The full moon coincided with its closest approach to the Earth, 221,565 miles (356,575 km), making the so-called 'super moon' look slightly larger than average. AFP PHOTO / Jewel Samad (Photo credit should read JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:Getty)
A perigee moon rises in Washington, DC,(04 of117)
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A perigee moon rises in Washington, DC, on March 19, 2011. A perigee moon is visible when the moon's orbit position is at its closest point to Earth during a full moon phase. The full moon coincided with its closest approach to the Earth, 221,565 miles (356,575 km), making the so-called 'super moon' look slightly larger than average. AFP PHOTO / Jewel Samad (Photo credit should read JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:Getty)
The full moon rises behind the statue of(05 of117)
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The full moon rises behind the statue of Mahathma Gandhi in Hyderabad on March 19, 2011. Full Moons vary in size because of the oval shape of the Moon's orbit. It is an ellipse with one side (perigee) about 50,000 km closer to Earth than the other (apogee). Nearby perigee moons are about 14 percent bigger and 30 percent brighter than lesser moons that occur on the apogee side of the Moon's orbit. According to US Naval Observatory in Washington, D.C. 'The full Moon of March 19 occurs less than one hour away from perigeea near-perfect coincidence that happens only 18 years or so'. AFP PHOTO/Noah SEELAM (Photo credit should read NOAH SEELAM/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:Getty)
The full moon is seen behind a bronze st(06 of117)
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The full moon is seen behind a bronze statue standing on the left bank of Vltava river on Mala Strana Prague's quarter early on March 20, 2011. The full moon coincided with its closest approach to the Earth, 221,565 miles (356,575 km), making the so-called 'super moon' look slightly larger than average. AFP PHOTO / MICHAL CIZEK (Photo credit should read MICHAL CIZEK/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:Getty)
The full moon rises over rooftops March(07 of117)
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The full moon rises over rooftops March 19, 2011 in this view from the east side of Manhattan in New York. The full moon coincided with its closest approach to the Earth, 221,565 miles (356,575 km), making the so-called 'super moon' look slightly larger than average. AFP PHOTO / Stan HONDA (Photo credit should read STAN HONDA/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:Getty)
A March 20, 2011 photo taken at approxim(08 of117)
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A March 20, 2011 photo taken at approximately 0457 GMT shows the moon seen from Chevy Chase, Maryland. The moon is in its closest orbit to Earth, at 356,577 Kms away, the closest in 18 years. AFP PHOTO/Mandel NGAN (Photo credit should read MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:Getty)
The statue of freedom, ontop of the US C(09 of117)
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The statue of freedom, ontop of the US Capitol Hill is pictured against a perigee moon as it rises in Washington, DC, on March 19, 2011. A perigee moon is visible when the moon's orbit position is at its closest point to Earth during a full moon phase. The full moon coincided with its closest approach to the Earth, 221,565 miles (356,575 km), making the so-called 'super moon' look slightly larger than average. AFP PHOTO/Jewel Samad (Photo credit should read JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:Getty)
A perigee moon rises in Washington, DC,(10 of117)
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A perigee moon rises in Washington, DC, on March 19, 2011. A perigee moon is visible when the moon's orbit position is at its closest point to Earth during a full moon phase. The full moon coincided with its closest approach to the Earth, 221,565 miles (356,575 km), making the so-called 'super moon' look slightly larger than average. AFP PHOTO/Jewel Samad (Photo credit should read JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:Getty)
The full moon rises March 19, 2011 in th(11 of117)
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The full moon rises March 19, 2011 in this view from the east side of Manhattan in New York. The full moon coincided with its closest approach to the Earth, 221,565 miles (356,575 km), making the so-called 'super moon' look slightly larger than average. AFP PHOTO/Stan HONDA (Photo credit should read STAN HONDA/AFP/Getty Images) (credit:Getty)
Supermoon from Fort Hood, Tx(12 of117)
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KillerNeuron:
The moon as seen from Ft. Hood, Texas, approximately 2 hours after moonrise.
Supermoon above San Sebastian(13 of117)
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The Supermoon illusion(14 of117)
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Super Moon, North Phoenix(15 of117)
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NunyaBus99:
Taken during a cloud cover break 9pm AZ time.
Super Moon(16 of117)
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ecokaren:
Super Perigee Moon with 70mm
Norfolk UK 1900hrs (17 of117)
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Richard J Hodds:
Norfolk UK 1900hrs RJHodds
Supermoon (18 of117)
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Regaleyes:
Supermoon 19 March 2010 shines brightly over Buckinghamshire, UK
Supermoon Rising Over Downtown Frankfurt, Germany(19 of117)
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Uwe Peppel:
Rooftop-terrace view of the full moon rising over downtown Frankfurt on March 19, 2011. The brightly illuminated building front in the foreground is on the 'Zeil', Franfurt's main shopping street.
Super Moon Seen in Cochin India(20 of117)
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kleykamal:
This picture was taken at 3.50 am . Location Cochin Kerala. India
Moon at perigee - Maharagama, Sri Lanka(21 of117)
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Anson Holzer:
Earth's Moon at its super-perigee. Maharagama, Sri Lanka. (March 20, 2011)Photo: Anson Holzer
Supermoon!(22 of117)
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David G Kramer:
Supermoon over Clearwater, Florida
moon over Coral springs(23 of117)
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Misha57:
in my yard at 8:30 pm. Fl.
Super Moon Over New York City . View from Weehawkeen NJ(24 of117)
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Juan Manzano:
Super Moon Over NYC, s viewed from Weehawkeen NJ, Saturday March 19, 2011 -----Juan Manzano
Moon over Parliament Hill(25 of117)
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cenedra:
Canada's Capital, Ottawa
Illumination(26 of117)
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Eric Schilling:
Super moon was beautiful, but Earth stole the show.
Moon over Upper Makefield, PA(27 of117)
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Atlantic Supermoon(28 of117)
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jaxbnimble:
Ocean City, Maryland
Orange Moon Over the Atlantic Ocean(29 of117)
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Our bright and loyal friend(30 of117)
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Zvibi:
From my roof in Los Angeles, CA. (Photo by Sam Zvibleman)
Super Moon outside Quincy, Washington, 8:53pm(31 of117)
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Perigee Moon(32 of117)
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IBEW1377:
March 19 2011 The Supermoon rises over Euclid Ohio. William Albright/Albrightartworx
Blue Moon(33 of117)
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IBEW1377:
A perigee moon is a rare event hence the title. William Albright/Albrightartworx
Super Moon(34 of117)
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Austin Lepri:
photographed in Frederick Maryland by Austin Lepri.
Supermoon from Brooklyn, NY(35 of117)
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Supermoon(36 of117)
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klao39:
Goodrich, Michigan
Super Moon in Raleigh, North Carolina(37 of117)
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Terisaylor:
The sky was hazy as the Super Moon rose over Raleigh, NC. I shot this photo at around 8:00 p.m. as it was rising. In a hazy glow, it finally appeared over the treeline and peeked from behind the clouds.
Moonrise over Queens, NY(38 of117)
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PLANE OVER MOON(39 of117)
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dolphinfreddy:
PLANE CROSSING SUPERMOON
Supermoon behind Jupiter Florida Lighthouse(40 of117)
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Edward Oest:
Moon rising behind the lens of the Jupiter, Florida lighthouse
Prague's Super moon(41 of117)
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The moon (42 of117)
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blackwell963:
This picture was taken at 8:20 pm . Location WASH.DC USA
super moon from western North Carolina 03/19/11(43 of117)
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Robbie Pack:
super moon from western North Carolina 03/19/11
Supermoon(44 of117)
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David G Kramer:
Supermoon Over Clearwater, Fl
Supermoon over Ellijay GA 3/19/2011(45 of117)
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Supermoon(46 of117)
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David G Kramer:
Supermoon Over Clearwater, FL
Super Moon Rising over wetland in Oberlin, OH(47 of117)
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Crow Moon(48 of117)
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Phil Tomlinson:
Cincinnati OH
Lake Huron Super Moon(49 of117)
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Dave Parcells:
Super moon over lake Huron, Lighthouse County Park, Port Hope, MI.
Austin-tatious!(50 of117)
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csumant:
The sighting of a Super-b-moon over Austin..
Texas Supermoon(51 of117)
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Supermoon March 19 2011, view from Ottawa, Canada(52 of117)
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Southern California Super Moon(53 of117)
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Supermoon(54 of117)
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wingwitt:
Supermoon seen through the trees in out backyard in Franklin, PA
Super moon in Western NY(55 of117)
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jimsanders52:
Moon rising behind the trees in Pembroke, NY just before 8 PM.
Super Moon(56 of117)
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RockyMtnGuy:
Breaking through the clouds over Denver
Supermoon(57 of117)
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wingwitt:
Supermoon seen trough the trees in our backyard in Franklin, PA
Perigee Moon Santa Fe(58 of117)
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SuperMoon Rising. Macon,Ga(59 of117)
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jawa89:
Super Moon rising in Macon Ga.
"SuperMoon" (Philadelphia, PA)(60 of117)
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camardella:
Extreme close up of "Super Moon." March 19th, 2011
Supermoon over Tampa(61 of117)
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gin terry:
Supermoon over the bay in Tampa with a boat marker in the foreground. Taken by Ginny Terry from St. Petersburg, FL.
Big Moon Bermuda(62 of117)
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BermudaBlue:
Sorry you will have to rotate your heads 90 degrees to enjoy this because HP will not allow vertical format photos. The moon always looks better in context...
Pittsburgh Moon(63 of117)
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SuperMoon over Big Spring Tx(64 of117)
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BBrite:
The moon rises over south mountain and the radio towersof Big Spring Tx.
SuperMOON(65 of117)
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doublecheck:
break in the clouds, inland empire CA
Ultra full moon March 19 2011(66 of117)
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Mario11:
March 19 2011 Worcester County Massachusetts
Supermoon South Scottsdale, AZ(67 of117)
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rockyrococoAZ:
taken with nikon coolpix L110
Moonrise Papago Park, Phoenix(68 of117)
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rockyrococoAZ:
Silhouettes of people in lower foreground. Cloudy on the eastern horizon, moon showed up a few minutes late.
super exhaust (69 of117)
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doublecheck:
jet exhaust obscures superr moon for cool effect
Super Moon(70 of117)
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joshyja:
Super Moon - Atlanta March 19, 2011; 9:30 PM
super moon(71 of117)
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Supermoon from Ecuador(72 of117)
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aencalada 74:
Pic taken on 19.3.11. Location: Guayaquil, EcuadorPhoto: Andres Encalada
Supermoon over Downey, CA(73 of117)
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Supermoon 3/19/11(74 of117)
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Supermoon 3/19/11(75 of117)
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orange moon(76 of117)
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Misha57:
my moon, what beauty. margate fl.
super moon(77 of117)
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Setting Super Moon @ 6 AM Central(78 of117)
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supermoon in Margate Fl.(79 of117)
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Misha57:
in my backyard a day late march 20,2011 still beautiful
Supermoon in Pasig(80 of117)
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evejavier:
Many attempts to capture the bright light which Supermoon shone over Pasig. There was a distinct yellowish ring around it which was fascinating.
Super-badass-moon(81 of117)
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Somnath Mondal:
Supermoon. Mt.Bonnell, Austin. Unedited.
SuperMoon over Big Spring Tx(82 of117)
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BBrite:
Moon rising over Big Spring with radio towers in the foreground
Clouded Supermoon(83 of117)
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adhityahb:
...Supermoon from Cinere, Indonesia...
Clouded Supermoon(84 of117)
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adhityahb:
...supermoon from Cinere Indonesia...
Space Bound(85 of117)
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lizkover:
Original Super Moon photo by Renee Hoogs from Kona on the Big Island of Hawaii, March 19th, 2011. Art by Liz Kover.
Bangalore Supermoon(86 of117)
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dustyplanet:
As seen at 10PM from Bangalore, India© Dustyplanet
Supermoon from Gravelly Point(87 of117)
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spawar25:
Supermoon over Gravelly Point near Reagan National Airport in Washington DC
Supermoon Closeup from Gravelly Point(88 of117)
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spawar25:
Supermoon Closeup from Gravelly Point near Reagan National Airport in Washington DC
Supermoon from Gravelly Point(89 of117)
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spawar25:
Supermoon from Gravelly Point near Reagan National Airport, Washington DC
Bangalore Supermoon(90 of117)
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dustyplanet:
Seen at 10PM 19th March from Bangalore
"Super"moon over Manhattan(91 of117)
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jmvazquezjr:
Shot of the moon over Manhattan taken from Weehawken, NJ.
Moody Moon(92 of117)
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Moody Moon(93 of117)
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Beautiful Big Moon(94 of117)
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cagney1113:
Supermoon over Los Angeles
Bangalore Supermoon(95 of117)
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dustyplanet:
Supermoon over Bangalore
Big Moon(96 of117)
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Penny WolfFreeland:
taken over Sarasota Bay, Florida March 19.2011 8:19pmPenny Wolf-Freeland
"Super Moon" over Sarastoa Bay(97 of117)
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Penny WolfFreeland:
taken March 19, 2011 at 8:19pm
Supermoon(98 of117)
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Supermoon in Brooklyn(99 of117)
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Supermoon over D.C.(100 of117)
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Bill Woolf:
View near Wilson St. on the Freedom steps.
Capital Building and Super Moon(101 of117)
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Super Moon over Lake Titicaca(102 of117)
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Moon over Alabama(103 of117)
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Steven Stiefel:
The Super Moon as seen from North Alabama on Saturday.
Supermoon over Syracuse NY(104 of117)
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peaceonearth:
moooooooooooon
Super Moon Coming Over The Dunes In Ocean City Maryland(105 of117)
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Mick Chester:
Super Moon Coming Over The Dunes In Ocean City Maryland
Super Moon Over Miami!(106 of117)
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GPaugam:
3/19/2011 7:27pm f/9 1/250 ISO 400
just for a while...(107 of117)
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prince prince:
supermoon on a cloudy night in CEBU... appeared for 2 minutes only
SuperMoon over CEBU(108 of117)
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prince prince:
cloudy night and the moon made a quick 2 minute appearance
Full Moon over Hampton Roads(109 of117)
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dsavige:
Full moon shot taken on 3/19/11 in southeastern VA with a Canon DSLR and telephoto lens.
Supermoon Over the Atlantic Intracoastal Waterway(110 of117)
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John Bellm:
I photographed the Supermoon as it rose over the Atlantic Ocean just north of Carolina Beach, NC at 7:48pm EST.
REFLECTIONS (111 of117)
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dolphinfreddy:
Supermoon over the Hudson
A FULL SUPER FACE(112 of117)
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Super Moon(113 of117)
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askingalaska:
Mataponi River, Richmond, Va.
Super Moon(114 of117)
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askingalaska:
Mataponi River, Richmond, Va
Supermoon in Homer Alaska(115 of117)
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Rachel Denning:
The moon rises over the mountains that hedge in Kachemak Bay near Homer, Alaska.
Super Moon - 3/19/2011(116 of117)
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nyahmusic:
Taken during the Lunar Perigee at 11:23PM EDT on 3/19/2011 when the moon was the closest it has been to earth since 1993: about 221,567 miles, as compared to the average distance of 238,000. © Robert K Griffith
Supermoon (117 of117)
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mschang:
This photo of the Supermoon was taken from Florida.