Larry Summers, Janet Yellen And The Fractious Debate Over The Next Fed Chair

Everyone Has An Opinion On Larry Summers
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WASHINGTON -- President Barack Obama says his former top economic adviser and prospective nominee for Federal Reserve Chair Larry Summers has been mistreated.

Many of Summers' former colleagues and proteges, meanwhile, say he's misunderstood. Now they're trying to marshal support to counter a robust political opposition that appears to have caught both Summers and Obama by surprise.

The charges against the one-time Treasury Secretary and director of the National Economic Council are familiar. Critics say he's been on the wrong side of major financial debates and has an abrasive if not antiquated attitude toward women.

But these complaints, according to Summers enthusiasts, are bluntly political and often ignore other important, more positive aspects of his record.

"He gave a speech that he apologized for but a lot of people took a lot of offense to," Facebook COO Sheryl Sandberg told The Huffington Post in an interview, referencing Summers' infamous remark that women were less capable of tackling advanced science and engineering work. "It wasn't his policy. It was a speech he gave and actually the rest of that speech was fine. A lot of that speech said things that ... all of us really agree with, that it is really hard for women in terms of work-life balance to catch up."

Sandberg, who served as Summers' chief of staff when he was Treasury Secretary under Bill Clinton, noted that he gave a speech as chief economist for the World Bank in which he argued girls' education was an economic imperative.

"That speech put girls' education on the table as an economic issue, and economic issues are always taken more seriously than development issues by countries," she said. "Before that, girls' education was something education ministers worried about, which was good. But when it became something as the linchpin of economic growth, that obviously put many more forces behind it."

Sandberg has made this argument before, including in a Huffington Post blog post in 2008. Which begs the question: Why has his perception not improved more over time? After serving in the early years of Obama's administration, Summers remains the most divisive economic figure in Democratic Party politics.

Not even his harshest critics deny his brilliance. He has been integral to some of the thorniest dilemmas of the past few decades, and he has generally been seen as the smartest guy in the room when those dilemmas were addressed. But Summers' judgment and the way he treats colleagues has routinely come under fire.

Summers clashed with fellow members of the Obama team. Noam Scheiber, in his book The Escape Artists, reported that he sidelined Christina Romer, then the chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, when she tried to persuade the president to pursue a larger stimulus package. Meanwhile, Sheila Bair, the former Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation chair who had warned of trouble in the subprime lending market, was left out of most major financial policy decisions.

"The attitude was that they already had all the answers and were talking to us only because the president wanted them to," Bair wrote in her recent book regarding Obama's top economic advisers. "Larry and [Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner] didn't seem to care about the political beating the president took on the hundreds of billions of dollars thrown at the big-banks bailouts and AIG bonuses, but ... I don't think helping homeowners was ever a priority for them."

That it was two prominent women with whom Summers clashed has not gone unnoticed.

"Summers' record of sexism speaks for itself -- and it's disturbing," said Shaunna Thomas, co-founder of the feminist group UltraViolet. "Character and the capacity to see women as equals should factor heavily into Obama's choice for head of the Federal Reserve -- and ignoring those things would speak volumes to women across America."

But other women who have worked with Summers argue that his bluntness shouldn't be confused with insensitivity or sexism.

Diana Farrell, former deputy director at the National Economic Council, told The Huffington Post that she worked "closely and very collaboratively" with Summers as he helped pull the economy out of crisis. He "has a formidable command of the full range of economic, regulatory and monetary issues and applied these -- loyally and brilliantly -- to the service of our country," Farrell said.

Kathleen McCartney, now the president of Smith College, served as dean of the Harvard Graduate School of Education when Summers was president of the university. McCartney said that she and Summers had "a great working relationship," and they "worked together to use the Harvard platform to make a difference in children's lives."

Certainly, Summers has jousted with male colleagues as well as female ones. Former Office of Management and Budget Director Peter Orszag can attest to that. And for a number of Summers' detractors, it's the positions he's taken in those battles -- not the person he's battling -- that's cause for concern.

Clinton and others in office in the late 1990s have said Summers erred in pushing a de-regulatory platform at the time, during a period when Glass-Steagall financial regulations were repealed and the derivatives market was unshackled.

"Anyone who is being considered on Fed chairmanship should have to talk about Glass-Steagall, about the repeal and about their position on a modern-day version of it," former Sen. Byron Dorgan (D-N.D.) told HuffPost. Dorgan, now a lobbyist with Arent Fox, was one of only a handful of senators to vote against repealing the regulations.

"My hope is that [Obama will] look outside the very small talent pool that they usually look to," he said. "You know what I'm talking about? A talent pool that comes from Wall Street. There are a lot of really talented well qualified people outside that talent pool."

Critics also point out that Summers was part of an Obama economic team that let the banking industry off easy after it cratered the economy.

"Summers protected the big banks from being taken over when they were insolvent, and he has been a consistent foe of any serious effort to rework the financial industry," said economist Dean Baker, co-director of the Center on Economic and Policy Research. For good measure, Baker noted that Summers earned millions from financial sector interests, including bailed-out Citigroup, around his stints in the public sector.

But here too, Summers defenders argue that these critics are omitting key facts. Summers was more resistant to immediate deficit reduction in 2009 and 2010 than other Obama advisers, they say, and he made the argument at the time that additional stimulus was needed. As for his divisiveness, Brad DeLong, a University of California, Berkeley economist and Summers supporter, had three explanations.

"A byproduct of his personality, a habit -- learned in graduate school, and before -- of overstating points in order to provoke in the belief that he is going to be judged on the smartest thing he says, and most important, an American left that does not understand who Obama is," DeLong said.

"The Democratic Party -- the left especially -- chooses somebody without a national political reputation, projects their hopes and their fantasies onto them as a blank canvas, enthusiastically supports their run for president, is then bitterly disappointed, and blames evil advisors who force Obama to listen to Jamie Dimon rather than Elizabeth Warren," he explained.

As DeLong sees it, Summers became a convenient bogeyman for Democrats disaffected with the president's performance. Obama himself told House Democrats on Wednesday that progressives were treating his former adviser as a "whipping boy." He urged them to not believe everything they read, singling out articles from this website in particular.

But part of the problem facing Summers is not just that he's taking one for Obama. It's that his main areas of perceived weakness happen to be the areas of perceived strength for the other top contender for the Fed post.

Fed Vice Chair Janet Yellen picked up on signals of impending financial troubles and highlighted them in speeches for years preceding the 2008 crash. She warned about low-quality loans and an unstable banking system, and supported transparency at the Fed before it was politically popular to do so. Her defenders also argue that she's attuned to blue-collar economic issues -- like wage growth and housing -- and not just the balance sheets of the major financial institutions. She'd also be the first woman to head the Fed.

And so, while many expect both she and Summers to have similar approaches to monetary policy -- both appear to believe the Fed should still use the tools at its disposal to help the economy -- there are contrasts to be drawn. Even Summers' defenders admit that they'd be pleased to see the Fed's glass ceiling broken.

"Obviously, I've known Larry for over 20 years as a teacher, colleague and friend and I think he would be a remarkable choice for the job," said Sandberg, who famously wrote a book about female leaders at the highest levels of government and business. "I don't know Janet as well but she would be a good selection, too. We're lucky as a nation that we have such a great choices."

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Before You Go

Economic Predictions That Were Blatantly Wrong (Or Have Blatantly Yet To Come True)
Paul Ryan: QE2 Risks Inflation(01 of12)
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Back in 2010, Republican Vice Presidential candidate Paul Ryan explained that the Federal Reserves plan to purchase $600 billion worth of securities -- known as QE2 -- was little more than "sugar-high economics" that risked rising inflation and weakening the dollar. But instead the opposite took place. According to Bloomberg:
"Since that prediction by Ryan, who has been chosen by presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney to be his running mate, the dollar has risen against major currencies and inflation has stayed below the Fed's goal of 2 percent."
(credit:AP)
Christina Romer: Unemployment Will Remain Below 8%(02 of12)
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In early January of 2009, Christina Romer, economic adviser to then President-elect Barack Obama, made a prediction: massive government stimulus on the order that would eventually be passed by Congress would keep unemployment below 8 percent, reports The Washington Post. Without it, unemployment could reach as high as 9 percent.In July 2012, unemployment edged up to 8.3 percent. It has not gone below 8 percent since January 2009. (credit:AP)
Jim Cramer: Obamacare Will Topple The Stock Market(03 of12)
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On March 18, 2010, Jim Kramer stated on Larry Kudlow's program that Obamacare would tank the stock market. The reform package was, in his words, "the single greatest impediment to the stock market going higher."On March 23 of that year, according to CBS News, President Obama signed health care reform into law. Following Yahoo's tracking of the Dow Jones, the market on April 1 2010 was at 10,927. On August 17, over two years later, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was pegged at 13,264. Granted, the market could still take a nose dive. But odds are it won't be because of health care reform. (credit:AP)
Michelle Bachmann: Obama Taking 'The Final Leap To Socialism'(04 of12)
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In a radio interview Minnesota Congresswoman Michelle Bachmann gave with Bill Bennet in March of 2009, the Minnesotan claimed that Obama's policies were representing the "final leap into socialism," Think Progress reported.But alas, while Bachmann's sensational claim may have gotten her into the spotlight, the government has been engaged in selling its stake in the industries that it had to temporarily prop up.General Motors, an automaker that the U.S. government had to prop up with emergency capital, bought back all preferred shares held by the U.S. Treasury as of December 2010, reports The New York Times.Wall Street's largest banks that have frequently brought about wrath from liberals such as Paul Krugman, like Citi, Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan, are still privately run. (credit:AP)
Glenn Beck: U.S. Will Go Through 'Great Depression Times 100' (Or Hyperinflation)(05 of12)
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In early 2010, then-Fox News commentator Glenn Beck said that the U.S. was likely in for a "Great Depression Times 100," reports Media Matters, going on to say that the country would experience a period of hyperinflation.Unemployment during the Great Depression peaked at around 25 percent, according to an article published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. But even at the worst moments of the Great Recession, unemployment only reached slightly above 10 percent. Presently, it is at 8.3 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. With inflation estimated to remain stagnant at 1.5 percent through 2012, the nightmare warnings of hyperinflation expounded by Beck as well as by renowned "economist" Peter Schiff appears to be just that. A nightmare. (credit:AP)
Rick Santelli: 'Stagflation Is Almost A Certainty'(06 of12)
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In October of 2009, CNBC analyst and Tea Party founder Rick Santelli told said on the show Fast Money that he believed "stagflation is almost a certainty." In other words Santelli was predicting that America would go through a period of high inflation and high unemployment. The only question he had was when.In November of that year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that between October 2008 and October 2009, prices rose by 1.7 percent not including food and gas. This made, at the time, Santelli's claim even bolder. Even though unemployment is still high -- almost three years later -- inflation has risen far below the Federal Reserves 2 percent annual target, Bloomberg reports. (credit:Getty Images)
Rush Limbaugh: Obamacare Will Leave 250 Million People Uninsured(07 of12)
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Among the many predictions conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh has made over the years, the one he made on March 8, 2010 was not one of his best.On his daily radio show The Rush Limbaugh Show, Limbaugh announced to his listeners that healthcare reform, which would be signed into law later that month, would end up leaving 250 million Americans uninsured, Media Matters reported.As of June 2012, 49.9 million Americans do not have health insurance, CNN estimated. (credit:AP)
Mitt Romney: U.S. WIll Default If We Raise Debt Ceiling(08 of12)
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In the June 13, 2011 Republican Presidential Debate, Mitt Romney, when asked about the consequences of not raising the debt limit answered the moderator's question with a question. "Well, what happens if we continue to spend time and time again, year and year again more money than we take in?"As Asher Smith pointed out on The Huffington Post, this can only mean that the U.S. will eventually be unable to pay off its obligations and, as a result, default.Bit as of August 2012, close to one year after the debt ceiling was raised, the U.S. still hasn't defaulted. (credit:AP)
Bill Gross: End Of QE2 Would Cause Bond Yields To Go 'Much Higher'(09 of12)
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In March of 2011, PIMCO Co-Founder Bill Gross predicted an imminent spike in treasury bond yields following the end of the Federal Reserve's Quantitative Easing program, Fortune's Colin Barr reported.Bond yields, Gross told reporters, were likely to go "higher maybe even much higher" at the end of June 2011 when QE2 ended. The 10-year treasury bond yield has since fallen. Since the 2011, 10-year bond rates have hovered between 2.5 and 1.5 percent, according to Bloomberg.
Joe Biden: US Out Of Recession In 18 Months (Feb. '09)(10 of12)
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In February of 2009, Vice President Joe Biden predicted that the federal stimulus package being implemented by Barack Obama's administration would "literally drop kick us out of this recession," The Hill reported. "This [stimulus] is about getting this out and spent in 18 months to create 3.5 million jobs."Technically, the recession ended during the third fiscal quarter of 2009, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. But with unemployment hovering around over 8 percent for the last three years, some economists are no longer talking about calling the current economic period a recovery. Brad DeLong, an economist with UC Berkley, told readers on his blog in 2011 that we're now in the midst of a "Little Depression" instead.
Peter Schiff: Inflation At 20 Percent By 2009(11 of12)
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Economist Peter Schiff stated that the Federal Reserves monetary policies would lead to 20 percent inflation within one year. The statement, made in October 2008 on Glenn Beck's former CNN program, was proven wrong. During 2009, the U.S. actually experience deflation. (credit:AP)
Ron Paul: Beware Of Runaway Inflation(12 of12)
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Congressman Ron Paul believed that runaway inflation was "just horrendous" in May 2011, he said during an appearance on Fox Business News. When Congressman Paul made that statement, inflation was pegged at 3.2 percent and, after peaking at 3.9 percent that October, inflation has steadily fallen to 1.4 percent in July 2012. (credit:AP)